Alex Lundstrum
Two Pair
Also, this^Biggest lie in poker?
Wife - "how'd you do last night"
Me - " About even"
Me after winning: I won exactly $143.17.
Me after losing: Mmmm, about even.
Also, this^Biggest lie in poker?
Wife - "how'd you do last night"
Me - " About even"
Is this guy named Doc Emmit Brown??? Hit his head and saw the image below?It looks like I'm late to the party, but whatevs. Since we're staying nonsense as fact, let me propose an unarguably plausible scenario: old man fell and hit his head. Ever since then, he's had an uncanny ability to pick up on minute tells, so much so that he has a very good idea of when someone is drawing, so he often comes along for the ride. He's terrible at poker and "reading his hand" but he chases no matter what if he's subconsciously perceived weakness and therefore makes many more hands than others... While he's not very good at poker, he does understand that luck is not an attribute, but simply the face of variance.
PureBiggest lie in poker?
Wife - "how'd you do last night"
Me - " About even"
So, what you mean is that it is reallyLuck as a word is kind of meaningless as it is just a placeholder to describe something we don't understand.
This isn't true. I'm up in poker over 17 years.... I'm making like 50-60 cents an hour when I play. Im nearly a professional.I don’t know if this is the biggest lie, but maybe it is the most common lie: “I’m a winning player.” Followed by “I make a living playing poker.”
Yes, it’s very possible to be a winning player. And yes, it’s even possible to make a living playing poker. But I think very few people are living these dreams.
If you are playing in casinos with high rakes, you can be a solid, smart, creative player who beats everyone else... But you really have to be exceptionally solid, smart, creative player to beat the rake. Again, I think that’s possible. I just don’t think many people honestly get there.
My winningest period in poker was when I had access to lots of private games with little or no rake. These were small stakes, but they were profitable because almost all the money was staying among the players. I would never play in a casino again if I could find enough action like that.
I also think a lot of the big pros we admire (while they are often very clever players) are people who managed at some point to get a big score... Win a major tournament or three. Then have the giant bankroll to survive the variance most other good players without that funding can’t survive.
Or, parlay their splashy success at a few events—which may have been based in skill, or variance, or most likely both—into staking and other deals, again so that the inevitable reversion to the mean did not eventually send them back to a day job.
Just look at how many famous players wind up involved in coaching sites, sponsorship deals, books, streaming, podcasts, television commentary... They are making money on the side, away from the table, in pursuits related to poker but not actually playing poker, getting their expenses paid by means other than grinding it out at the tables... If they could truly crush everyone consistently, why would they bother, except maybe for ego reasons?
So while I do think it’s possible to win consistently in the long-term, especially once you are rolled to survive the variance—and I even think a few people can make their entire living that way—I just think that usually this is a huge lie. Either people are not winning as often and as much as they claim, or they are majorly supplementing income from the tables with poker-related work.
Reading this thread from the beginning is really an enjoyable exercise. It’s like reading a great mystery book, but the ending has yet to be written .... is Rummer for real or is he really trolling everyone? Will the people taking his question at face value continue to try to answer it using “statistics” and “logic” or simply give up? Is Rummer aware of the other threads trolling him and, if he becomes aware, will he get even more belligerent? Is Rummer really as perceptive a player as he claims based on his 40 years of poker? These are the questions I need answers to ...
Did you remember to account for gas?This isn't true. I'm up in poker over 17 years.... I'm making like 50-60 cents an hour when I play. Im nearly a professional.
SHIT.Did you remember to account for gas?
This isn't true. I'm up in poker over 17 years.... I'm making like 50-60 cents an hour when I play. Im nearly a professional.
Reading this thread from the beginning is really an enjoyable exercise. It’s like reading a great mystery book, but the ending has yet to be written .... is Rummer for real or is he really trolling everyone? Will the people taking his question at face value continue to try to answer it using “statistics” and “logic” or simply give up? Is Rummer aware of the other threads trolling him and, if he becomes aware, will he get even more belligerent? Is Rummer really as perceptive a player as he claims based on his 40 years of poker? These are the questions I need answers to ...
Funny, the voice in my head was the narrator from ancient aliens and oak island: "A fold? On the RIVER?"I read this in my head with suspense movie voice over guy voice.
I read this in my head with suspense movie voice over guy voice.
This reminds me of this retired Navy SEAL guy that exposes fake SEALS. His name is Don Shipley and has a website and YouTube channel. He is freaking hilarious but anyhooooo....he always says there are 10000 fake SEALs for every real one. I think the same may apply for professional poker players.I don’t know if this is the biggest lie, but maybe it is the most common lie: “I’m a winning player.” Followed by “I make a living playing poker.”
Yes, it’s very possible to be a winning player. And yes, it’s even possible to make a living playing poker. But I think very few people are living these dreams.
https://www.pokerlistings.com/strategy/the-mathematical-truth-some-players-have-to-run-badJust throwing this out there...as stated, “luck” (or any other randomness variable) does not even out over time. That’s literally the gamblers fallacy...there is a streak of reds so blacks are due to get back to the correct 50/50 distribution. Not how it works
What is true, is that distributions of random variables converge as sample sizes increase.
So, if you sincerely believe that the next session, old man is due some bad cards (he ran good so his luck is supposed to even out) or due some better than average cards (he’s intrinsically lucky)...well, I’d like to have you at my poker game I think. That exceptionally poor concept of numbers will spill into other areas
Well, that's a different story.Seems like the old man in our story is named Chuck Norris.
Chuck made a royal flush long before the Ace was introduced to card decks.
That, after having spent two nights on the Sun.
Actually, there is no discussion of the subject to be had. You've already made up your mind, so /thread as far as that is concerned:
So discussion of the actual point you brought up is moot. However.....
My biggest take-away from this (and at least one other) thread recently started by you is this: You've been gamed big-time by this 'losing' clueless brain-damaged old player who continues to take your money at the poker table regardless of how hapless he appears to be, and he has even so successfully conned you into believing his act, that you now forcefully defend his incompetence level to total strangers, blaming it on 'luck' and not reality. Hey, good for him..... although I think his biggest stroke of luck was finding that game in the first place, and the gullible players in it who so totally buy into his con. Brilliant.
If you look around the table and don't see the fish, it's you.
Chuck Norris once visited the Virgin Islands.Seems like the old man in our story is named Chuck Norris.
Chuck made a royal flush long before the Ace was introduced to card decks.
That, after having spent two nights on the Sun.
Chuck Norris sold his soul to the devil for his rugged good looks and unparalleled martial arts ability. Shortly after the transaction was finalized, Chuck roundhouse kicked the devil in the face and took his soul back. The devil, who appreciates irony, couldn't stay mad and admitted he should have seen it coming. They now play poker the second Wednesday of every month.Chuck Norris once visited the Virgin Islands.
From that point on, they were known as "The Islands".