justsomedude
Straight Flush
?
Lottery is -EV, big time. Older article:
http://www.businessinsider.com/powerball-lottery-expected-value-2016-1
The worst casino bets are still better than the lottery.
Yeah, your take home after taking the cash amount and having that taxed would need to be like $500 mil for it to be +EV. So the advertised jackpot would need to be like $1.5B. I think it's only been that high once, but it has been getting near that range more often since they combined the two markets.I was thinking about this calc (initially +EV) which is a current version of your article, but after considering further variables, gets pretty shitty (annuity vs lump, inflation, taxes, split, etc)
http://www.businessinsider.com/powerball-jackpot-700-million-expected-value-2017-8
If you won this lottery, you could buy a controlling interest in GPI with some of your loose change. Then your chips are free!Can you imagine what would happen to chip prices if most of this place was in on that win?