- Dec 21, 2015
- Reaction score
OK, so my site has seen 156,351 unique player hands. If I do a very simply summary here, I get this. This is taking into account some extra games which were not in my original set (play test games for checking cards/chips ... but still, they were hands dealt)
Hands Occurrences 1-in-x Hands Total: 156351 189.0580411 AA 827 202.5272021 KK 772 192.7879162 811 194.7085928 JJ 803 195.6833542 TT 799 190.6719512 99 820 199.6819923 88 783 201.2239382 77 777 189.2869249 66 826 211.5710419 55 739 189.2869249 44 826 194.2248447 33 805 188.3746988 22 830
So that's still more often, right? Maybe not as high as my original numbers, but it's happening more often than it should...
No, that's LESS often. It should average to 1 in 221 hands if the data is correct (it's probably not though).
Sorry to be so blunt, but the data you are posting in this thread is all over the place. I have zero confidence in any of the numbers you are reporting. I can't even begin to make the necessary probability calculations here to tell you whether or not something is off because because your numbers and assumptions are all wrong.
I see nothing in this thread that makes me think Poker Mavens is dealing out pocket pairs or royal flushes at higher than expected rates. I see plenty, however, of reasons not to trust any of the numbers you're posting. I'm confident that if I had access to the raw data, I would be reporting different numbers.