I think you are talking about all in EV. There was someone tracking that for DNegs. Yeah that number would way lower at the end of the challenge. Id say closer to 100K. It still doenst account for the other $1M he lost though so I think the point is kind of moot.
Edit. The final All in EV numbers have been tallied and the range you quoted was correct. -$256.8K. Still down around $950k if you want to adjust for that.
Wouldn't that be a $500K swing though. Take $256K away from Doug and add $256K to Daniel? Or is that already taken into account? Not insignificant but it definitely doesn't change the outcome of the match.