With this post, I'm going to wrap up some thoughts on this topic. Please excuse the interruption of all the great pr0n.
My first post in this thread was in response to
@Poker Zombie, who had written this:
Heck, even look at what many will point to: the Boat Chips. One person managed to get custom, mint - not minty, mint chips from Paulson, and he let a handful of others get some as well. That's not a reason for argument, it's a cause for celebration.
My response, in hindsight, was too strong. This is what I posted, wanting to counterbalance the message from
@Poker Zombie, providing a sense of the picture from the other side:
This is not the point. New members were blatantly lied to during the whole time the boat chip group buy was going on. People who spent fortunes on used chips lost money because of those lies, while some people inside the group buy made fortunes reselling chips. It wasn't a matter of jealousy. It was a matter of broken trust. Group buy members are often blind to that point.
OK, this captures some of the anger felt in the immediate aftermath of the GB. It's not completely fair, however. I am going to break down this statement below.
1.
"New members were lied to": New members weren't necessarily lied to, but anyone reading this forum in 2016 and 2017 would certainly have understood that new Paulson chips could not be purchased from GPI, and that any attempt at a group buy would be impossible. These ideas were supported by senior members who were actually part of the GB, and in the process of purchasing new Paulson chips. That particular point sticks in the craw, so to say.
In an earlier post I mentioned to
@BGinGA that I personally hold his words in high regard since I have learned so much in this hobby directly from him. Based on the information I had read, I did in fact purchase large numbers of chips that I would not have, had I known what was going on behind the scenes. It's not just about the money, however, but the sense that a group of trusted members pulled the wool over the eyes of the rest of the group, so to speak.
2.
"People who spent fortunes on used chips lost money": Several people have asked for "proof" of this statement (
@gopherblue). Asking for that is unnecessary, because it's clearly not possible to prove or disprove possible future gains or losses in a market that fluctuates unpredictably. Basic economics does stipulate that adding to supply pushes prices lower, but this is a general rule rather than something which can be applied to specific cases.
The reason I wrote this is because it is, in general, true that had the GB not happened, the market for Paulson chips would be different than it is today. Members who were informed about the GB had a chance to try to anticipate the effects of the GB, while members who were in the dark did not. Thus, the GB put a certain amount of financial risk on non-GB members.
3.
"some people inside the group buy made fortunes reselling chips": This is true, and no-one argues with it. It's an unfortunate side effect of the GB that some members who were included were able to make dramatic profits. This accentuated the discontent felt by members, also in relation to point #2 above.
4.
"It wasn't a matter of jealousy. It was a matter of broken trust.": Sure, some people were jealous, but I think the majority of the members who were unhappy felt let down by the group buy, due to broken trust. A common refrain was "I can't believe you didn't tell me / include me", especially from long-time, old-school members who had given so much to the community over many years.
5.
"Group buy members are often blind to that point.": The final point has to do with the way some GB members reacted. In general the reaction from the GBers was defensive. It seemed that despite the obvious strife that the GB led to, many GBers simply couldn't see what the problem was. Admittedly, the reaction of some non-GB members was also not great.
OK, so I hope this explains the intention behind my original post. I admit it was too strongly worded, and it could be seen as inflammatory. The underlying points, however, are there, and I wanted to make them. In a response in the thread,
@BGinGA wrote the following:
You've stated that there are lack of trust issues; well, that's entirely possible -- it certainly seems true of you. I'll give you that point, but I was never arguing it in the first place.
I'm glad to see you agree there's an aspect of the GB that could have been done better. It's good to hear that GB members do realize that the GB caused some problems for the community, despite all of the chips that were produced.
@BGinGA also wrote this:
But it's your failure to back up any of your claims is what many people have an issue with.
I don't really think it's necessary to go through all of the old posts to produce evidence of points #1, 2, and 3. On point #1 I had previously sent you a link to an example via PM. On point #2 as we said this is impossible to prove or disprove for specific cases. On point #3 it's not necessary because there are so many examples as for it to be obvious.
In conclusion, for some the group buy might have been a cause for celebration as
@Poker Zombie said in his post. If everyone on PCF had benefited from it in the same way, is certainly would have been. In my own opinion, however, the cost was too high. For various reasons, as a result of the GB we lost trust between friends, and we lost great members who left the community and did not return. Hundreds of thousands of mint Paulson and Bud Jones chips are not worth that cost, in my opinion.
I didn't intend this thread to turn into a debate on the GB - I simply wanted to make a counterpoint to
@Poker Zombie. Nevertheless it's all in the past, and it's time to move on from the topic. Let's have some more pr0n.