boltonguy
Flush
Hero in HJ RFI 2.2BB (standard), CO calls, folds around - heads up to the flop.
Hero flops 2 pair on a very wet board. Hero bets 3/4 pot and V folds.
I was curious what the solver would do here and was surprised (see below).
I find myself in situations here sometimes torn between betting 1/2 pot and betting bigger to protect my hand and charge the draws.
Often when called V gets there and I have to give up = but I am way ahead here and V should not get there often.
With this exact hand (or Kh9h which is functionally equivalent) the solver is X 88% of the time here even though it has 71% equity.
When betting, the solver chooses 1/4 pot the most often.
Sure we are crushed by JT (16 combos) and KQ (6 combos) and 99 (3 combos) for a total of 25 combos but the balance of V's range is full of draws, diamonds, gutters and combos.
If Hero X, this is what V's range looks like.
Straight = 3.67%
Set = 2.88%
2 Pair (that beats us) = 5%
For a total of about 11%.
I guess I do think that I will get called by worse here or is my size just too big such that when getting called I am behind (only called by better at 3/4 pot)?
I could see betting smaller to keep V's calling range wider but X doesnt make sense, giving free cards to so many draws.
Thoughts?
Hero flops 2 pair on a very wet board. Hero bets 3/4 pot and V folds.
I was curious what the solver would do here and was surprised (see below).
I find myself in situations here sometimes torn between betting 1/2 pot and betting bigger to protect my hand and charge the draws.
Often when called V gets there and I have to give up = but I am way ahead here and V should not get there often.
With this exact hand (or Kh9h which is functionally equivalent) the solver is X 88% of the time here even though it has 71% equity.
When betting, the solver chooses 1/4 pot the most often.
Sure we are crushed by JT (16 combos) and KQ (6 combos) and 99 (3 combos) for a total of 25 combos but the balance of V's range is full of draws, diamonds, gutters and combos.
If Hero X, this is what V's range looks like.
Straight = 3.67%
Set = 2.88%
2 Pair (that beats us) = 5%
For a total of about 11%.
I guess I do think that I will get called by worse here or is my size just too big such that when getting called I am behind (only called by better at 3/4 pot)?
I could see betting smaller to keep V's calling range wider but X doesnt make sense, giving free cards to so many draws.
Thoughts?