boltonguy
Flush
10NL ACR Blitz fast fold. HUD stats aren't relevant.
V in LJ RFI 2.5 BB. Hero in SB 3! to 11BB with QQ. All standard I believe.
Flop is fairly safe IMHO.
LJ will probably have 4! AA/KK/AK pre at high frequencies. So V will have AA/KK at lower frequencies. We will have AA/KK more often here.
LJ will have TT and 88 in range for sure but more combos of AQ/AJ/JJ/99/88/KQs/KJs etc so not a worry.
No A or K is good with QQ. We can definitely get worse hands to call. Better hands are not folding.
Hero is definitely betting for value on this flop and choses 1/3 pot sizing as we are occasionally behind here to AA/KK that flatted IP a small percentage and 88/TT which comprise a small portion of V's range. So we dont have the nuts here so we cant bet big for value and we are not bluffing so not choosing a polarizing size IMHO.
I think that leaves me with a medium 1/3 to 1/2 pot size.
I put this hand in Snowie and it disagrees, choosing a pot-sized bet.
I think our range has AA/KK here more often as V 4! these hands pre, so calling with lower freq. AA/KK are strong but not the nuts on this flop.
However I think we have TT at about equal frequencies, and I do not ever have 88 here (88 is a call in BB to a LJ RFI) while LJ flats 88 probably close to 100%.
So I think V is ahead when it comes to nut advantage on the flop.
V's range is dense with A and K so I want some protection in addition to value but I think protection is a smaller bet.
Anyone have an idea why Snowie wants to bet so big here? What size would you choose and why?
I'll probably put this in GTO+ and see what it thinks.
V in LJ RFI 2.5 BB. Hero in SB 3! to 11BB with QQ. All standard I believe.
Flop is fairly safe IMHO.
LJ will probably have 4! AA/KK/AK pre at high frequencies. So V will have AA/KK at lower frequencies. We will have AA/KK more often here.
LJ will have TT and 88 in range for sure but more combos of AQ/AJ/JJ/99/88/KQs/KJs etc so not a worry.
No A or K is good with QQ. We can definitely get worse hands to call. Better hands are not folding.
Hero is definitely betting for value on this flop and choses 1/3 pot sizing as we are occasionally behind here to AA/KK that flatted IP a small percentage and 88/TT which comprise a small portion of V's range. So we dont have the nuts here so we cant bet big for value and we are not bluffing so not choosing a polarizing size IMHO.
I think that leaves me with a medium 1/3 to 1/2 pot size.
I put this hand in Snowie and it disagrees, choosing a pot-sized bet.
I think our range has AA/KK here more often as V 4! these hands pre, so calling with lower freq. AA/KK are strong but not the nuts on this flop.
However I think we have TT at about equal frequencies, and I do not ever have 88 here (88 is a call in BB to a LJ RFI) while LJ flats 88 probably close to 100%.
So I think V is ahead when it comes to nut advantage on the flop.
V's range is dense with A and K so I want some protection in addition to value but I think protection is a smaller bet.
Anyone have an idea why Snowie wants to bet so big here? What size would you choose and why?
I'll probably put this in GTO+ and see what it thinks.