@hdgeno That piece does sound ominous, doesn't it?
But it is not published in the reputable financial press. The author is secret.
It is very pretty, the graphics are nice. However, the data in the graphics are unattributed.
I can't take the piece seriously. Could be a big deal. Could be jibber jabber. If it is serious, I expect the major financial press will tell us a lot more about the story.
Sadly, such major press pieces are often autopsies rather than warnings -=- DrStrange
I also read the @hdgeno article then did some googling - there were news articles in 2019 and 2020 referring to the same thing. For example:
https://www.wsj.com/articles/large-...d-price-sharply-higher-study-says-11572863400
https://www.cnbc.com/2019/11/04/stu...rket-manipulator-pushed-bitcoin-to-20000.html
The simple fact for me is that I know so little about how blockchain/crypto actually functions in the real world (as opposed to how it's supposed to work) that it's a huge black box and hence why I agree with @DrStrange when he calls it speculation. Yes, there are macro economic trends that support the growth of crypto but in an unregulated market where the mechanics aren't clear, who knows what will actually happen or if your investment is secure.
I could have put $1000 in Amazon 20 years ago and I'd be a millionaire now. I also could have put the same in Bitcoin 10 years ago with the same result. The difference is that I can wrap my head around Amazon and it's business plan (even though it's changed a whole lot since the IPO), I can't quite do that for Bitcoin. Now clearly my lack of understanding may be an opportunity loss for me but I'm 100% certain that in 1 year (or 2 years or 10 years) I can sell my Amazon stock and get the cash equivalent to the share price at that time - I'm not 100% certain that I'd be able to do the same for Bitcoin.
Having said that, I'd be happy to put "some" money in Bitcoin but to me it's a punt - if it goes up 10x then great but if I lose it all, then fine also as I accept the risk.
Disclosure: I am/we are long AMZN. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it. I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in my ramble.
I know so little about crypto, and it’s good to hear some other opinions. I came across that link in a stock thread on another forum, and since I know people here better I thought I’d see what others here thought.
Stocks make a lot more sense to me, as there are companies behind the names. I’m probably better off in stocks (and more so ETF’s), as I’m more comfortable there.