While it’s great that the buyer has been made whole, like
@justsomedude I don’t see how a refund in and of itself really proves or resolves anything. We still don't know what happened — just what was discussed after, and that a refund finally got made.
Yes, the refund could suggest that possibly the seller was totally innocent and someone else emptied and refilled the package with paper.
It could also mean that the seller became sincerely remorseful for having tried to scam a trusted PCFer after seeing the buyer’s reaction.
It could mean that the seller came to realize — after 18 pages of getting blasted by 95% of posters— that he would never have any transactions again in this community if he didn’t at least make the buyer whole.
Someone above suggested that the refund was issued completely unilaterally. That suggestion is kind of belied by the many pages of pressure applied here before the refund.
To me the situation would seem less ambiguous if a refund had been issued immediately, if the buyer had not tried to impugn the seller at first, and if the package had shown any signs of tampering.
Not to mention if it were not so improbable that a random postal worker actually found both boxes of poker chips and considered those worth stealing. And bothered to fill the box with paper rather than making the packages disappear and simply seem lost.
It will be interesting to see what the USPS investigation finds. Unfortunately the most likely answers are “nothing at all” or “nothing conclusive.” So that may leave some PCFers with some lingering doubts, and reluctance to work with the seller—not because it is proven that this was a scam, but because any uncertainty creates problems for future sales.
All around, a bad situation.