I like the "all-in" play here much better than the call. There are two diamonds + a possible treetop brewing. So, it's entirely possible that LE was up against a significant draw...or even trip 9's. I think MERCIER made the right play here.
I finally realized in low-stakes poker, you can't bluff someone who isnt paying attention. I think MERCIER gave LE too much credit and most likely planned on taking the pot down right then and there.
Disagree on all points. The fact that there are so many draws available is exactly what makes it a call by Le. Mercier has a ton more draws in his shoving range than value hands that beat AJxx not to mention value hands that do not
beat AJxx. Call all day with those stacks.
Certainly you're right that it's harder to bluff bad players, but I don't think that's applicable here. Le is a successful PLO player. But even if we didn't know that at the time, he's playing in a $10k PLO event. Chances are he's got a clue.
Before the hand Le would've had around 1M in chips, correct?
Don't know what Le had before the hand, but Jason had something like 425k, so they were 425k effective.