upNdown
Royal Flush
Yes! I think we’ve discussed this before, but Bart Hanson mentioned it again this week - you have to remember that when you’re a 70% favorite with a big pocket pair that holds, you’re not winning “what you were supposed to win,” you’re actually winning 30% MORE than expectation.Seven bad run-outs in 6 months of play is not particularly noteworthy to be honest.
The problem is when people get the money in good, they round up their chances of winning to 100% and get frustrated that isn't how it works. Being a 70% favorite is common with pocket pairs and that means losing about 30% of the time.
That said, play those pocket pairs! As Negreanu loves to say, it’s tough to make a pair.

, two others go all in preF, action gets to me, I shove as well……. I hit quads!
…. Flopped another
, villain hit
, he raises big, I “tank”, and call….. Trap set, turn comes
, villain has big slick, bets BIG again, I “regretted my call” - river, brick, he packs another $20 in, I call again (playing nice poker, I knew I trapped him in a hole of fuck) and I called. My pocket rockets have had a successful mission to planet value.