GimmieUChips
Sitting Out
You are in a $50.00 entry NLHE on-line tourney. You are in 3rd place after playing only solid hands in position. You just finished the 4th break. There are eleven players left. The chip leader is at your table. He is a total idiot that has not gone into a hand ahead in 3 hours – and won 100% of his races. He has rivered a chop in 5 hands when he was all-in with bottom pair.
83.7569391% of poker odds are made up on the spot.
69.732487% of ALL statistics are made up on the spot.
Freaky Poker Math…..
ALL odds in poker are fifty - fifty.
Here is proof...you’re in a race…you have Ah Ac Under The Gun and make a pot size bet. The DB chip leader looks down and has As Ks. He puts you all-in. (It is a race I promise you)
Poker Math = you will win this hand 87.23%
That, is total horse shit. The truth is, it’s 50 / 50. You have a 50% chance to win the hand.
Flop - Ad Js 8s
Now the stupid poker math says you have lost part of your lead in the hand, (even though you’re hand has improved) and you are a 70.91% favoiate. That is totally wrong. The odds of winning are still 50/50.
Turn - 2c
Now the stupid poker math says you have regained part of the lead you had lost in the hand, and you are now back to over 80% at an 81.82% favorite. You feel great!
That is total horse shit - again. The truth is, it’s 50 / 50. You still only have a 50% chance to win the hand.
They either hit their hand, or they don’t.
Put another way – You either win the hand, or you don’t.
It’s fifty – fifty!
River card? – You guys pick how it turns out.
In my dream the 2s hits the river giving the DB a Nut Flush and me a Full House. I smoked the idiot that over played the Ace King. As the idiot ex-chip leader is trying to figure out how it was possible for him to lose the hand – he is dealt Qh 6h and is all-in against a pair of Jacks. He river’s a Queen to double up. A few hands later he is all-in with k3o against Kings. Of course his 3 makes a straight on the river to put him back into the top 4 at the final table. Lucky for you, you have won five other hands and have a 5:1 chip lead over 2nd. You get a pair of threes (33) and this same fool puts you all-in - with Aces. You flop quads and put him out. He calls you a Douche Bag after you quickly tell him “gg”.
You see? It’s all 50/50. You either suckout or you don’t. You either win or you don’t.
I got the 50/50 rule from a world famous poker player friend that I used to play limit poker with. Anyone care to guess who it was? He is a former WSOP Main Event Champion.
83.7569391% of poker odds are made up on the spot.
69.732487% of ALL statistics are made up on the spot.
Freaky Poker Math…..
ALL odds in poker are fifty - fifty.
Here is proof...you’re in a race…you have Ah Ac Under The Gun and make a pot size bet. The DB chip leader looks down and has As Ks. He puts you all-in. (It is a race I promise you)
Poker Math = you will win this hand 87.23%
That, is total horse shit. The truth is, it’s 50 / 50. You have a 50% chance to win the hand.
Flop - Ad Js 8s
Now the stupid poker math says you have lost part of your lead in the hand, (even though you’re hand has improved) and you are a 70.91% favoiate. That is totally wrong. The odds of winning are still 50/50.
Turn - 2c
Now the stupid poker math says you have regained part of the lead you had lost in the hand, and you are now back to over 80% at an 81.82% favorite. You feel great!
That is total horse shit - again. The truth is, it’s 50 / 50. You still only have a 50% chance to win the hand.
They either hit their hand, or they don’t.
Put another way – You either win the hand, or you don’t.
It’s fifty – fifty!
River card? – You guys pick how it turns out.
In my dream the 2s hits the river giving the DB a Nut Flush and me a Full House. I smoked the idiot that over played the Ace King. As the idiot ex-chip leader is trying to figure out how it was possible for him to lose the hand – he is dealt Qh 6h and is all-in against a pair of Jacks. He river’s a Queen to double up. A few hands later he is all-in with k3o against Kings. Of course his 3 makes a straight on the river to put him back into the top 4 at the final table. Lucky for you, you have won five other hands and have a 5:1 chip lead over 2nd. You get a pair of threes (33) and this same fool puts you all-in - with Aces. You flop quads and put him out. He calls you a Douche Bag after you quickly tell him “gg”.
You see? It’s all 50/50. You either suckout or you don’t. You either win or you don’t.
I got the 50/50 rule from a world famous poker player friend that I used to play limit poker with. Anyone care to guess who it was? He is a former WSOP Main Event Champion.