When you run good... (1 Viewer)

arch3r

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Playing some PLO after the monthly neighborhood tourney (I won, ran god-like) we played some .25/.25 PLO.

My buddy's hand is on the top, me bottom. Flop/turn/river goes right to left. (ignore the dice chips on the left)

Needless to say I stacked him. Why can't I always run like this??

OVqWFEt_-Ry-4k-xwM6BAMeBQxcgGrNjm_J34hom1xdjGJf7Ag9f5nG9kpBN_lDRBVUqoYUBsIjt8bhPBvMvErQKJnGWsqIh1veieAUiDX3vlZJwb-v_lvjN6RJPMA2B4ydc-yPnc0jUAjOX72O6sufwL8Nl9qeB1EfYf6VMAiWeEnEP-P9Y1WYID44D02vL7X0Dn9aZaMh2oMXQYz0MWadeDhR92NVj8yGIQXLlrOMj5sDAKEaMzVk-G4tA23k_-0BiXU0GFv2-3VuhBWYDceaiuT-epY8iswYSc7IeiSiOL813_mE3t09aQBH0sjkLzBShYXfKUA5MCTrguG4KsRo-F70Q4uHjk3TbV40gn7JDzyHz_iacYxNoj5MDg5_FwEPQY28n11B-wBKYHpKcQ04d8yfilRgsI4Bf2nE7mU-Ra-Y5wOIleQUvQ3hmGB-57VBwgefZpYFp4tw-iuWMgkFI4fZq36p9F66uh859AkmxVM1bI8C3Qu68BKqZTFe62p4RI6v7i3ae-FM_eqZuNPw0bLhVwHXR07AuM0kyXs_7pDFRD3leOYAglP1wQlLwo7-R8oHz3yYq4jG_FydAtNNu3HkyD8f4Gol91DmeoSatF07eFBtl7UK7ox6Lhvqg8jKUdBSMQAB1N5VqvnL6MV-Y=w1270-h953-no
 
It just got worse for him. Curious as to the betting progression. Presuming he bet heavy after the flop because the more cards that came out the worse his chances got, correct?
 
Quite a run-out. Hero was crushed on the turn, drawing to two outs and caught lightning on the river. Grats!

My experience with people during and after a major hot streak is they develop bad habits that work to their benefit during the run-good and then sap their win rates when luck evens out.

I encourage Hero to take careful note of how he is playing because this hand looks like an example of exactly such a situation. Perhaps the flop is ok, but money put in the pot on the turn was dubious at best.

Enjoy it while it lasts. The blessings from the Poker Gods are why we play. Not many things are more fun than a multi-month lucky run.

But those multi-month unlucky runs sure do hurt -=- DrStrange
 
Quite a run-out. Hero was crushed on the turn, drawing to two outs and caught lightning on the river. Grats!


I agree with your main assessment, and all the other poker wisdom you always impart. But wouldn’t the :8d: also resulted in a W?
 
the two outs are the :kd: & :8d: making the nut straight-flush. Any other card is a loser.

Even if Hero is not up against a full house / quads on the turn, there aren't many villain hands that don't have a big equity edge that will still put money in the pot on the turn. Maybe someone could get trapped with the just a naked flush draw where Hero's pair of nines is somehow best? That seems like quite a stretch in PLO.
 
Playing some PLO after the monthly neighborhood tourney (I won, ran god-like) we played some .25/.25 PLO.

My buddy's hand is on the top, me bottom. Flop/turn/river goes right to left. (ignore the dice chips on the left)

Needless to say I stacked him. Why can't I always run like this??

Interesting. I would have folded pre-flop.
 
Nice Chips!
Edit, Just read the entire OP.
Congrats on the run-good
 
the two outs are the :kd: & :8d: making the nut straight-flush. Any other card is a loser.

Even if Hero is not up against a full house / quads on the turn, there aren't many villain hands that don't have a big equity edge that will still put money in the pot on the turn. Maybe someone could get trapped with the just a naked flush draw where Hero's pair of nines is somehow best? That seems like quite a stretch in PLO.

Lol, I’m on crack this morning. My bad.
 
It just got worse for him. Curious as to the betting progression. Presuming he bet heavy after the flop because the more cards that came out the worse his chances got, correct?

Villain was already stuck, inexperienced in PLO and a bit bet-shy. See below.

Quite a run-out. Hero was crushed on the turn, drawing to two outs and caught lightning on the river. Grats!

Thank you!

Interesting. I would have folded pre-flop.

Well as the cards fell, yes I should not have even been in the hand. But we were playing 0.25/0.25, the villain only raise to $0.75 pre-flop and I had been running way good. I had just crushed the tourney, winning $120; I could do no wrong and just kept getting hit by the deck. My pocket pairs turned into flopped sets, my suited connectors flopped flushes, and I just turned a ton of straights and boats. The the third had of the post cash game, I flop quads, villain turns A-high flush and I felt him. So with my luck just boundless last night, why not see a flop for $0.50 more.

After the flop, I put the villain on trip Js or 4 to the straight. He bets pot, something like $3. With 4 to the straight flush, I call, relying on my continued luck to hold out.

The turn scares me. Boat gets there. I check and villain only bets $3 again. He was stuck and wanted to get max value, plus he was sure my luck could not be that good, and knowing I'd probably call the $3 having either a straight or drawing to the flush. So I think for a minute and then decide go for it. If he had bet more I probably would have folded, but that's what you get slow playing.

River comes and I have to try and control my reaction. I hit the 2-outer for my first straight flush ever. If he was drawing to the straight, he probably got there and with the flush on the board, I don't want to scare him off, just praying that the river hit him hard (little did I know). I check and let him decide to get it in dead, planning on putting him all in with my table image as big stack bully if he bet small again. He snaps for his remaining $12-$13. I just smile and quietly call. He quickly turns over the boat and thinks he's good. I just turn over my cards and say nothing. He looks and is like, "boat beats flush, YES!". I smile and point out its a straight flush. Table erupts. He's crushed. Best session of my life.
 
Oye, just re-read this. I had the hands upside down. You snuck one out there, man.
 
Quite a run-out. Hero was crushed on the turn, drawing to two outs and caught lightning on the river. Grats!

My experience with people during and after a major hot streak is they develop bad habits that work to their benefit during the run-good and then sap their win rates when luck evens out.

I encourage Hero to take careful note of how he is playing because this hand looks like an example of exactly such a situation. Perhaps the flop is ok, but money put in the pot on the turn was dubious at best.

Enjoy it while it lasts. The blessings from the Poker Gods are why we play. Not many things are more fun than a multi-month lucky run.

But those multi-month unlucky runs sure do hurt -=- DrStrange

100% truth. I do not expect to always run like that. Happy that I was able to experience it though, what a rush. I'll be back to playing proper poker in my next session.
 

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