in a vacuum this hand is a trivial fold, but give the immediate in-game history, i'm having a tough time figuring out how many draws and how much air i should have put in villain's range.
relevant background: villain is late 50s asian guy with black leather jacket, black leather fedora, and all kinds of horrendous gold jewelry (earrings, necklace, bracelets, rings). when i first sat, i was in the 4 and he was in the 8. we were in those positions for the first relevant past hand and then he moved to my direct right (???) right after the hand ended and we had the second relevant past hand with him in the 3 and me in the 4.
hand 1:
i check Kh5h in the BB and flop the second nuts on a T-high all heart board. i lead $15 into 3 other players, get three callers. turn brick (no overcard) and i lead $50. villain calls and button (tiny stack nit) ships for another $55. i ask loudly enough so he can hear if he can raise if i call. dealer says yes. i think for a second and call. he calls. river pairs the T, i jam for over the size of the pot and he tank-calls and loses. button mucks i win big pot yay. villain then moves to my direct right.
hand 2:
almost an orbit later the following hand comes up. i have 4c5c in the straddle and it limps around. i check and flop is Ac2dJs. checks around to button who bets $20 into $50. villain and i call. turn 3s. villain checks, i check, button bets $50, villain makes it $100, i make it $200, button folds, villain tank calls. river 9c. villain checks, i jam and he tank calls his $300ish stack off with AQo (lol).
so with that history, here's the actual hand that made me want to post:
one limp to villain in HJ who makes it $15 and i look down to TdTh in the CO and make it $35 just to iso villain. folds around and he calls.
flop ($82): 9s7s7c
villain checks, i bet $55, villain calls.
turn ($192): 4c
villain checks, i bet $150, villain jams for $370.
as i said, this is a trivial bet-fold versus every other player at the table, but i'm wondering if this guy is just sick of my shit and thinks/knows he can take the pot down with a check-raise here because i "always have AK" in this spot or because he knows a nine is the nuts.
really i have two equally-weighted questions:
(1) how often does he flat my 3-bet preflop with JJ+ and also not check-raise the flop and not lead the turn?
(2) how many draws (AcJc, etc.) and how much air does he have in his range here?
so, ultimately, it's $220 to win $712.
relevant background: villain is late 50s asian guy with black leather jacket, black leather fedora, and all kinds of horrendous gold jewelry (earrings, necklace, bracelets, rings). when i first sat, i was in the 4 and he was in the 8. we were in those positions for the first relevant past hand and then he moved to my direct right (???) right after the hand ended and we had the second relevant past hand with him in the 3 and me in the 4.
hand 1:
i check Kh5h in the BB and flop the second nuts on a T-high all heart board. i lead $15 into 3 other players, get three callers. turn brick (no overcard) and i lead $50. villain calls and button (tiny stack nit) ships for another $55. i ask loudly enough so he can hear if he can raise if i call. dealer says yes. i think for a second and call. he calls. river pairs the T, i jam for over the size of the pot and he tank-calls and loses. button mucks i win big pot yay. villain then moves to my direct right.
hand 2:
almost an orbit later the following hand comes up. i have 4c5c in the straddle and it limps around. i check and flop is Ac2dJs. checks around to button who bets $20 into $50. villain and i call. turn 3s. villain checks, i check, button bets $50, villain makes it $100, i make it $200, button folds, villain tank calls. river 9c. villain checks, i jam and he tank calls his $300ish stack off with AQo (lol).
so with that history, here's the actual hand that made me want to post:
one limp to villain in HJ who makes it $15 and i look down to TdTh in the CO and make it $35 just to iso villain. folds around and he calls.
flop ($82): 9s7s7c
villain checks, i bet $55, villain calls.
turn ($192): 4c
villain checks, i bet $150, villain jams for $370.
as i said, this is a trivial bet-fold versus every other player at the table, but i'm wondering if this guy is just sick of my shit and thinks/knows he can take the pot down with a check-raise here because i "always have AK" in this spot or because he knows a nine is the nuts.
really i have two equally-weighted questions:
(1) how often does he flat my 3-bet preflop with JJ+ and also not check-raise the flop and not lead the turn?
(2) how many draws (AcJc, etc.) and how much air does he have in his range here?
so, ultimately, it's $220 to win $712.