All great points and I think I could go several ways here, as played to this point.
1) I only realistically lose to 1 hand,


, and if he’s got that, well, “good hand, sir” and I go broke.
2) I’m never check-folding here.
3) If I check, would he:
-Check behind? I lose value.
-Shove? I snap call. Max value.
-Bet small? Maybe. I check raise for value… does he call? Maybe.
I finally decided to put out a relatively small bet to rep non-nut hands to avoid a check-check situation and hope for either a call, or even better, induce a shove.
Pot = $334
HERO bets $100
VILLAIN tanks for 1 minute and shoves for $235.
HERO snap calls and turns over the A-high flush.

VILLAIN looks disgusted and shows


for top set.
He later said that if I shoved, he would have folded, but thought I was making a play for the pot and that his set was either good or could get me off a straight by repping a flush. He didn’t put me on AKd.
HERO rakes $804 pot.
Sure, the river was a bit fortunate, but I’m working on improving my ranging and pot odds calculations in order to win more of these types of hands than I lose.
Lucky or well-played?
Both?
What say you?