OP
OP
Your name was deleted in a cut and paste error... I saw we only had 51 participants, and I had to go through the list to see who confirmed.
-
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[1 LEFT TO PAY/CARDS ASSIGNED] 2026 WSOP ME Last Hand Jackpot ($20 entry) (1 Viewer)
- Thread starter WedgeRock
- Start date
Your name was deleted in a cut and paste error... I saw we only had 51 participants, and I had to go through the list to see who confirmed.
I hope you lose, I want to feel revenge
OP
OP
Alright boys. Here's the random list:
OP
OP
Let's assign cards to that list in new deck order:
- BarrieJ3 (
) - krafticus (
) - Seeking Alpha Social Club (
) - sonofneeway (
) - grantc54 (
) - pocketJs (
) - pokerplayingpisces (
) - k9dr (
) - raynmanas (
) - harrysallout (
) - ExtraMild (
) - Kam (
) - Highli99 (
) - Thomacetti (
) - Forty4 (
) - Sprouty (
) - detroitdad (
) - justsomedude (
) - Jonesey07 (
) - suited67 (
) - Cliff (
) - ChaosRock (
) - PapaDrew/Timmah (
) - TankingRowlet (
) - chippitydoodah (
) - amigocrm (
) - Marius L (
) - TheBigTater (
) - GreatWhiteDope (
) - MykL316 (
) - Poker Zombie (
) - embiggens (
) - gopherblue (
) - MikesDad (
) - Hotus777 (
) - pokerkid05 (
) - elPadroni (
) - TheRealTeddyKGB (
) - BKisback (
) - cpac54 (
) - mattross1313 (
) - RocAFella1 (
) - triton (
) - Hornet (
) - derekdd23 (
) - Tham6165 (
) - ChipFinderSK (
) - Big Money (
) - WedgeRock (
) - Tony_M (
) - NotRealNameNoSir (
) - foreverdev (
)
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OP
OP
Now, lets alphabetize that list so you can find your name/card easier.
* - @PapaDrew needs to pay by 05/18/2026; if not, the spot is offered to @Timmah.
Good luck, everyone!
- @amigocrm []
- @BarrieJ3 []
- @Big Money []
- @BKisback []
- @ChaosRock []
- @ChipFinderSK []
- @chippitydoodah []
- @Cliff []
- @cpac54 []
- @derekdd23 []
- @detroitdad []
- @elPadroni []
- @embiggens []
- @ExtraMild []
- @foreverdev []
- @Forty4 []
- @gopherblue []
- @grantc54 []
- @GreatWhiteDope []
- @harrysallout []
- @Highli99 []
- @Hornet []
- @Hotus777 []
- @Jonesey07 []
- @justsomedude []
- @k9dr []
- @Kam []
- @krafticus []
- @Marius L []
- @mattross1313 []
- @MikesDad []
- @MykL316 []
- @NotRealNameNoSir []
- @PapaDrew/@Timmah []*
- @pocketJs []
- @Poker Zombie []
- @pokerkid05 []
- @pokerplayingpisces []
- @raynmanas []
- @RocAFella1 []
- @Seeking Alpha Social Club []
- @sonofneeway []
- @Sprouty []
- @suited67 []
- @TankingRowlet []
- @Tham6165 []
- @TheBigTater []
- @TheRealTeddyKGB []
- @Thomacetti []
- @Tony_M []
- @triton []
- @WedgeRock []
* - @PapaDrew needs to pay by 05/18/2026; if not, the spot is offered to @Timmah.
Good luck, everyone!
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The CLASSIC brick river 2h is going to be the point where the players decide enough is enough let's end it here. Tale as old as time.Now, lets alphabetize that list so you can find your name/card easier.
- @amigocrm [
- @BarrieJ3 [
- @Big Money [
- @BKisback [
- @ChaosRock [
- @ChipFinderSK [
- @chippitydoodah [
- @Cliff [
- @cpac54 [
- @derekdd23 [
- @detroitdad [
- @elPadroni [
- @embiggens [
- @ExtraMild [
- @foreverdev [
- @Forty4 [
- @gopherblue [
- @grantc54 [
- @GreatWhiteDope [
- @harrysallout [
- @Highli99 [
- @Hornet [
- @Hotus777 [
- @Jonesey07 [
- @justsomedude [
- @k9dr [
- @Kam [
- @krafticus [
- @Marius L [
- @mattross1313 [
- @MikesDad [
- @MykL316 [
- @NotRealNameNoSir [
- @PapaDrew/@Timmah [
- @pocketJs [
- @Poker Zombie [
- @pokerkid05 [
- @pokerplayingpisces [
- @raynmanas [
- @RocAFella1 [
- @Seeking Alpha Social Club [
- @sonofneeway [
- @Sprouty [
- @suited67 [
- @TankingRowlet [
- @Tham6165 [
- @TheBigTater [
- @TheRealTeddyKGB [
- @Thomacetti [
- @Tony_M [
- @triton [
- @WedgeRock [
* - @PapaDrew needs to pay by 05/18/2026; if not, the spot is offered to @Timmah.
Good luck, everyone!
Tham6165
Two Pair
Hypothetical. What if an all in preflop happens. Player A with higher chip count flops quads. Player B is drawing dead after the flop and flips the table over. No turn or river is produced in the onset of the chaos.
What are we doing then? lol
What are we doing then? lol
OP
OP
House keeps all unawarded prizes.
Seriously, in the event something crazy like that happens (that final table is stout AF, I doubt you could flip it), all unearned prizes will be returned.
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OP
OP
Every card is possible, but my theory is that low and middle cards are more likely to hit the board, because the players are more likely to hold better cards in their hand.
I came to the same conclusion. I'd prefer not to have a 2 since its part of a suited wheel that may get shoved but I would prefer it to A/K/Qs if I had a pick. If I was unemployed I would love to analyze the final runouts for all the televised MEs, would be an interesting odds game.
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foreverdev
Two Pair
I did it with AI
WSOP MAIN EVENT — FINAL HAND BOARD RUNOUTS
Card Frequency · 1972–2025 · 54 Finals
==================================
Card × % of finals
---- --- -----------
4♣ ×13 24.1%
2♣ ×11 20.4%
5♥ × 9 16.7%
Q♣ × 9 16.7%
T♣ × 9 16.7%
5♦ × 8 14.8%
8♠ × 8 14.8%
9♣ × 8 14.8%
K♦ × 8 14.8%
2♦ × 7 13.0%
5♠ × 7 13.0%
5♣ × 7 13.0%
8♣ × 7 13.0%
2♥ × 6 11.1%
3♥ × 6 11.1%
7♦ × 6 11.1%
9♥ × 6 11.1%
J♠ × 6 11.1%
Q♠ × 6 11.1%
T♥ × 6 11.1%
T♦ × 6 11.1%
2♠ × 5 9.3%
3♦ × 5 9.3%
4♦ × 5 9.3%
6♠ × 5 9.3%
6♣ × 5 9.3%
8♥ × 5 9.3%
9♦ × 5 9.3%
3♣ × 4 7.4%
4♠ × 4 7.4%
6♥ × 4 7.4%
6♦ × 4 7.4%
8♦ × 4 7.4%
9♠ × 4 7.4%
A♣ × 4 7.4%
K♣ × 4 7.4%
3♠ × 3 5.6%
4♥ × 3 5.6%
7♠ × 3 5.6%
7♣ × 3 5.6%
7♥ × 3 5.6%
A♦ × 3 5.6%
J♥ × 3 5.6%
J♦ × 3 5.6%
K♠ × 3 5.6%
K♥ × 3 5.6%
A♥ × 2 3.7%
J♣ × 2 3.7%
Q♥ × 2 3.7%
T♠ × 2 3.7%
A♠ × 1 1.9%
Q♦ × 1 1.9%
==================================
Total known cards : 266
Finals counted : 54 (1972–2025)
Expected per card : 5.1 apps (~9.5%)
Note: 1972 suits partially unknown
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Wonderful! I'm too lazy to check the numbes, but its always fun when you ask AI and it tells you what you want to hear lol.
Hmm now I'm looking at the cards. 4 of the top 5 are clubs which is just interesting; the "last hand" is not truly random cause its not always shoved preflop. We're still definitely in the margin of error and have low n=.
Tclubs coming out 9 times compared to Tspades only twice in 53 runouts. Odd.
Hey @foreverdev could you add on:
-Give me number of runouts that have two or more of one suit on the flop
and
-Give me total number of each suit (last one I just dont want to do by hand).
Ask it, "if you're betting on one card to be River, which would you pick?"
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OP
OP
foreverdev
Two Pair
Well the source SEEMS legit https://w50p.com/po/WSOP Final Hands With Cards.html
Perfectly, legit! That makes it easy.
Damn, I am not productive this morning. Now I'm thinking about autocorrelation/independence of each card falling AND it being the last hand.
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Tham6165
Two Pair
@WedgeRock i wasn’t questioning if money would be returned. I was just hoping to see some of our degenerate ideas of how we would “raffle” the other prize money.
Website is helpful. I hate the layout but it looks like it was made 20 years after The ChipGuide.
Tham6165
Two Pair
Robert Jen is the guy who started that site. He is by far the most knowledgeable person when it comes to Wsop history.
I had many talks with him when I was trying to research a piece of wsop memorabilia.
He posts some interesting facts on the 2+2 forums.
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Now I know one of us is gonna win
foreverdev
Two Pair
mattross1313
Full House
Poker Zombie
Royal Flush
Live poker is rigged.
See, that first AI answer is just missing the point. "Likely sample size variance" with no mention of autocorrelation, or the idea that adjascent events affect the likelihood of that event. It would be completely random if we're choosing a random hand in the tournament but the fact that its the ultimate last hand changes things; players may be betting or calling more on these boards due to the inclusion of that draw, explaining a sizable difference. If there's more than one of a suit there's higher backdoor/frontdoor equity, and players are more likely to win and lose big pots that may end the ME. The fact that its Clubs doesn't actually matter but its interesting that most boards had 2 or more, those just happened to be Clubs.
So now we're answering, when is the ME most likely to end? I assume this could be played out in GTO as well, players are more likely to bet and call when they have suited cards, especially with atleast one high card (explaining reduced showing for A/K/Q/Js). Baaa, this could be a rabbit hole. 70> 58 is significant enough and could have statistical significance. My follow ups would be reviewing how many of those 2/3 suited boards were clubs.
This is getting more and more boring, apologies. Its all random and I hope the 2 of hearts hits the River like a wrecking ball.
So now we're answering, when is the ME most likely to end? I assume this could be played out in GTO as well, players are more likely to bet and call when they have suited cards, especially with atleast one high card (explaining reduced showing for A/K/Q/Js). Baaa, this could be a rabbit hole. 70> 58 is significant enough and could have statistical significance. My follow ups would be reviewing how many of those 2/3 suited boards were clubs.
This is getting more and more boring, apologies. Its all random and I hope the 2 of hearts hits the River like a wrecking ball.
Poker Zombie
Royal Flush
The fact that clubs represent a larger than normal percent of hands simply tells me that 54 hands is not a deep enough of a data set to wash out everyday variance.
...or players are more likely to fold clubs, increasing the likelihood that boards will be club rich. I'm leaning on variance, bit all options are possible until proven otherwise.
...or players are more likely to fold clubs, increasing the likelihood that boards will be club rich. I'm leaning on variance, bit all options are possible until proven otherwise.
PapaDrew
Sitting Out
Sorry Timmah, PAID!
OP
OP
Good news for everyone except @Timmah: we are fully funded.
52 of 52 (100%) paid.
Updated list in the OP.
Please let me know if you spot any errors.
EDIT: Can't edit the title...
52 of 52 (100%) paid.
Updated list in the OP.
Please let me know if you spot any errors.
EDIT: Can't edit the title...
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I'll let you know if I spot any errors after the final hand is dealt. 
Good lock everyone!
Good lock everyone!
foreverdev
Two Pair
See yall August 5th?
I follow the contrarian view. I love that the jack of clubs has only come up twice in 54 years. That means it's due. 
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