I’ve seen a ton of chips over the years, both publicly and behind the scenes, and I can tell you there are way more racks out there than people think that never hit PCF at all.
I remember vividly around the start of COVID, Windwalker picked up 8 racks of Bourbon St $5s from my old job. Those racks were there for less than 24 hours before they were gone, shipped overnight to LA. I remember he had them listed for a pretty ridiculous number too, but to be fair he knew exactly how rare they were. After that, I have no idea where those racks ended up, and I’ve never really seen them surface again.
Same goes for things like Fitzgeralds $100
TRK racks. I remember seeing those in person, and they basically disappeared after that. Or even Claim Stake $5s, I remember packing multiple boxes of racks of those chips back in the day. You almost never see them come up, but I know there are a lot more out there than people think. The people who have them just don’t sell.
A lot of this stuff is moving privately. PMs, texts, pre-arranged deals. By the time something would hit the forum, the buyer is already lined up. There’s almost no point in listing it publicly just to have someone call dibs immediately and move it off-thread.
COVID was definitely a wild time. Prices shot up like crazy. You had guys like WW and a few other heavy hitters pushing the market, and things got inflated fast. I remember thinking there was no way certain racks were worth $1,500… and then they’d sell instantly. Now those same racks might be $700–800.
You see the same pattern everywhere. Gold, silver, even the stock market. Things run up, cool off, then stabilize and move again. The chip market right now feels like it’s just kind of sitting still.
Even the WSOP chips last year, most of that action happened privately. Numbers got thrown around, a few people figured out rough pricing, but most of it never really hit the open market.
At this point, I honestly think trading makes more sense than selling in a lot of cases. Once something leaves your hands, it can be really hard (or expensive) to get it back, especially with the rarer stuff.
For me personally, I’m more on the sidelines these days. I’m not moving nearly as many chips as I used to, and my collection is a lot smaller than it was a couple years ago. Life shifts priorities. But the chips are still out there, just tucked away more than before. Supply and demand is still the whole game.
One other thing I’ve noticed as a designer… I’ve had a huge increase in requests for
Tina sets over the last 6 months compared to relabels or overlabels. That’s opened the door for a lot of people who want something that looks and feels close to the real thing without spending crazy money. That alone has to be impacting the market too.