FWIW... I've never had a tourney run the "projected" length. There are a bunch of reasons for this:
- Players opt to skip the breaks as the night wears on.
- When it gets down to 3-4 players on the final table they may opt to "jump" to the next blind level before completing all 25 minutes ("ef this, jump to 1,000/2,000!")
- If it's getting late, the final 2-3 players often decide to chop the payouts. This point is critical... as I've rarely had a tourney go the full duration to one winner. I think I can count on one hand the times that's happened in the last year. The final players always chop so they can go home.
So, shorten the breaks, keep the levels to 20 minutes, and you'll be done sooner than you think. I'm willing to bet on it.
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For a single table, my guess is you'll finish at the 2,000/4,000 level, if not before.