CrazyEddie
Full House
The common wisdom in standard tournaments is that the tourney will end when there are twenty blinds total in play, plus or minus one level.
What would the corresponding estimated endpoint be for a double-or-nothing tournament? Assume 10 or 9 players playing down to five survivors, or 8 players playing down to four survivors.
Here's a guess: In a standard tourney two players shuffle twenty blinds back and forth until one gets a good break and takes them all. So probably four players can shuffle forty blinds around the table for a while without any of them going instantly broke, but with a decent chance that one of them will bust at any moment? And sixty blinds for six players? So when the tournament hits sixty blinds, you can expect that it will quickly get down to six players if it isn't there already, and that there's a strong likelihood that one of the remaining six will bust before the next level comes around. So... sixty blinds for 10/9 players playing down to five. Maybe fifty, to adjust for the likelihood that the tall-stacked players have taken chips from several players rather than several players all taking chips from a single player and pushing him out. And then maybe fifty or forty blinds for 8 players playing down to four.
Your thoughts?
What would the corresponding estimated endpoint be for a double-or-nothing tournament? Assume 10 or 9 players playing down to five survivors, or 8 players playing down to four survivors.
Here's a guess: In a standard tourney two players shuffle twenty blinds back and forth until one gets a good break and takes them all. So probably four players can shuffle forty blinds around the table for a while without any of them going instantly broke, but with a decent chance that one of them will bust at any moment? And sixty blinds for six players? So when the tournament hits sixty blinds, you can expect that it will quickly get down to six players if it isn't there already, and that there's a strong likelihood that one of the remaining six will bust before the next level comes around. So... sixty blinds for 10/9 players playing down to five. Maybe fifty, to adjust for the likelihood that the tall-stacked players have taken chips from several players rather than several players all taking chips from a single player and pushing him out. And then maybe fifty or forty blinds for 8 players playing down to four.
Your thoughts?