This poll needs an “undecided” option.
I was at Hustler last night, and I played off stream with Andy, Wesley, Mars and a few others, and this was the hot topic for a while. Ryan joined us later, and we discussed it ad nauseam. I also have the added color of talking to G about it, so I know his perspective.
Here’s my analysis and current opinion.
First let’s get the lies out of the way.
“I thought I had J3.” That is completely false. The proof is not just that she looked at her hand multiple times, but the fact that she she responded to Garrett’s question “do you have a small pair?” with “you give me that much credit?” after the turn was on the board and before they ran it twice.
“I thought you had Ace high” - That’s actually a less damning statement for a cheater. A better statement would have been “I put you on an open ended”. I think her Ace high comment was adrenaline , embarrassment, excitement, fluster and shock all rolled into one. She was fumbling for an explanation for a very bad call.
All her flip-flopping explanations indicate someone who was out of her depth, wanted to appear cool, and gave all kinds of explanations the more she thought about it. Saving face, if you will. Why do I believe this? Because I did it on HSP, when I raised Bryn Kenney with pocket 7s, on a 6565 board when he had barreled a third time and I had no business even calling. When I raised, it wasn’t strategic, it was all adrenaline. I had a basic unformed thought that I could potentially rep the 6, and maybe he had an overpair, but it was an insanely stupid play (that also paid off.)
So, did she cheat? Not even HCL knows. They’re currently evaluating investigators to look into it, because they have to be sure nothing happened. They’re aware of card reading tech, they’re aware that their staff is not infallible, and they’re aware that lots of eyes are on them.
So what happened in the conversation between Robbie, G and Ryan? This is what I understand went down:
- G gets up and asks dealer to send Ryan down.
- Ryan comes down, has to make a split second decision about talking to Robbie
- Robbie is asked to explain her decision (the 3 of them are talking)
- Her explanations don’t make any sense, she’s still sputtering
- G says he’s no longer comfortable playing at the table and with her, and says he’ll leave
- Robbie says “no, don’t do that. What can I do to make you feel better about this? Let’s just play.”
- G says (half jokingly, according to Ryan) “well, I’d feel better if I got my money back”.
- Robbie says, “if I give you the money, you’ll play, and we can be friends?”
- G is surprised, and says “yes”.
- Robbie gives the money back.
- her backer throws a fit and yells at G.
- G leaves.
I’m leaning towards an unfortunate perfect storm of circumstances:
1. A glitzy female player who’s trying to hold her own against the men, and has a weird attitude
2. A really bad set of decisions and adrenaline-driven play
3. A ridiculously bad runout for the favorite
4. A poorly handled negotiation
5. A backer who created drama
I’m leaning towards 65% no cheating.