Thanksgiving Day NFL Prop Bets (1 Viewer)

After the first game (assuming nothing changes in the last two minutes).

bergs - 8/9
k9dr - 8/9
bentax1978 - 7/9
ChaosRock - 7/9
Chippy - 7/9
detroitdad - 7/9
p.p.pisces - 7/9
RagsPoker - 7/9
Ronoh - 7/9
Snooptodd - 6/9
S.Sparky - 5/9
Forest - 3/9


Thank you sir.
 
Pretty sure I filled everything out right on the sheet so far. Please feel free to double check me.

bentax1978 (12)
detroitdad (12)
k9dr (12)
bergs (11)
p.p.pisces (11)
RagsPoker (11)
Ronoh (11)
Chippy (10)*
S.Sparky (10)*
ChaosRock (9)
Snooptodd (9)*
Forest (6)**

*eliminated from 1st place contention
**eliminated from 1st and 2nd place contention
 

Attachments

  • Thanksgiving Day NFL Prop Bets - after second game.pdf
    283.8 KB · Views: 109
Last edited:
Pretty sure I filled everything out right on the sheet so far. Please feel free to double check me.

bentax1978 (12)
detroitdad (12)
k9dr (12)
bergs (11)
p.p.pisces (11)
RagsPoker (11)
Ronoh (11)
Chippy (10)*
S.Sparky (10)*
ChaosRock (9)
Snooptodd (9)*
Forest (6)**

*eliminated from 1st place contention
**eliminated from 1st and 2nd place contention

Matches what I had perfectly. Thanks for doing this Bentax.
 
Matches what I had perfectly. Thanks for doing this Bentax.

You're welcome :)

And while I'm at it, here was everyone's expected chance at taking first place at the start of the Packers/Bears games.**


Ronoh (10.29%)
Snooptodd (0.00%)
detroitdad (33.67%)
k9dr (20.24%)
bentax1978 (19.88%)
Forest (0.00%)
ChaosRock (0.11%)
Chippy (0.00%)
RagsPoker (4.44%)
bergs (6.65%)
S.Sparky (0.00%)
p.p.pisces (4.72%)


And after the GB passing TD.

Ronoh (0.75%)
Snooptodd (0.00%)
detroitdad (36.89%)
k9dr (23.80%)
bentax1978 (21.65%)
Forest (0.00%)
ChaosRock (0.32%)
Chippy (0.00%)
RagsPoker (4.54%)
bergs (6.74%)
S.Sparky (0.00%)
p.p.pisces (5.31%)


**based on an equal probability of each possible outcome, which obviously isn't really the case, but makes for a decent approximation for most of these prop bets. GB winning is probably the bet that deviates the most from even, but isn't relevant to the calculation since everyone picked them to win.
 
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Someone should probably recheck the sheet to make sure it looks right, but barring a mistake, it looks like @k9dr is the winner! @Shanghai Sparky and I tied for second most points, but I lost the combined score tie-breaker, so second place goes to @Shanghai Sparky.

I'll let @detroitdad coordinate the payments. I assume two people will ship it to @Shanghai Sparky and the rest will send it to @k9dr.

Here are the final standing, barring a mistake in my sheet.

k9dr (18), tie-breaker: -1
S.Sparky (17), tie-breaker: 7
bentax1978 (17), tie-breaker: 15
RagsPoker (16), tie-breaker: 7
p.p.pisces (16), tie-breaker: 10
Chippy (16), tie-breaker: 13
bergs (15), tie-breaker: 0
Ronoh (15), tie-breaker: 3
detroitdad (15), tie-breaker: 23
Snooptodd (14), tie-breaker: 29
ChaosRock (13), tie-breaker: 7
Forest (10), tie-breaker: 10
 

Attachments

  • Thanksgiving Day NFL Prop Bets - final.pdf
    282.5 KB · Views: 131
Not bad for random guesses :ROFL: :ROFLMAO: Thanks to detroitdad for the contest and to bentax1978 for the spreadsheet.
 
k9dr (18), tie-breaker: -1
S.Sparky (17), tie-breaker: 7
bentax1978 (17), tie-breaker: 15
RagsPoker (16), tie-breaker: 7
p.p.pisces (16), tie-breaker: 10
Chippy (16), tie-breaker: 13
bergs (15), tie-breaker: 0
Ronoh (15), tie-breaker: 3
detroitdad (15), tie-breaker: 23
Snooptodd (14), tie-breaker: 29
ChaosRock (13), tie-breaker: 7
Forest (10), tie-breaker: 10


@Shanghai Sparky send these two your paypal and they can pay you @Forest@Farmington and @ChaosRock

@k9dr send your paypal addy to everyone else.

I'll send payment no. Congrats on the win.

@bentax1978 thanks for your help. We make a good team. I fire the shit up, hand the ball of to you, and let you run with it :)
 
@bentax1978 thanks for your help. We make a good team. I fire the shit up, hand the ball of to you, and let you run with it :)

You're welcome!

Was looking at it this morning; Literally just one more net passing yard for GB and I would have taken second. Maybe I should hold out for a stat correction ;)

It was twice as painful because I also started Adams in fantasy, and despite 11 targets, he ended with 2 catches and 14 yards :(



Payment sent to @k9dr.
 
You're welcome!

Was looking at it this morning; Literally just one more net passing yard for GB and I would have taken second. Maybe I should hold out for a stat correction ;)

It was twice as painful because I also started Adams in fantasy, and despite 11 targets, he ended with 2 catches and 14 yards :(



Payment sent to @k9dr.

I messed up the green bay props all together
 
I'm still in mourning after the Packer's loss to the Bears. At least this takes some of the sting out of it. Great contest. We should do a similar one for the playoff games.
 
That Cowboys game was the worst I've seen all around in literally 35 years. I've been a Romo homer since when Bledsoe was still starting, and even I was posting shit to Facebook last night like "At least Romo finally caught a break" and "It's time to retire, shoot him, or both".
 

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