Small Omaha hand (1 Viewer)

onerand

Straight
Joined
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2-5 plo. This is a common spot.

Limped 6-way to the flop. Hero has K876 suits irrelevant.

Hero and villian are on the tight side. Villain does make some odd calls, but is unlikely to bluff.

Flop is K T 8 with two clubs and a spade. Hero has no FD. Checked to Hero on button who bets $25. Villain in BB only caller.

Turn is a red 4. Villain check calls $75.

River is a red Q. Villain checks. Hero?
 
Hero has top and 4th pair. Great for hold'em but quite marginal in Omaha. This is a river bet under consideration - so we are only looking for value or to blow villain off the winning hand.

Is there value to extract? Do we think villain would call a small bet with something like QT? ($230 in the pot - so lets say Hero's value bet is $75, 1/3 pot.)

Can hero blow villain off a winning hand? I'd say yes in a tiny fraction of the cases - eg. hero could get KQ to fold with a big bet (maybe).

Villain read is very minimal - knowing so little I am inclined to check behind. The value proposition is thin and I worry about RIO problems when making a big bet. (RIO in the sense that villain rarely has the exact two pair hand we hope to fold out and more often has a check/calling hand that beats Hero even though most cases villain just folds a loser where the bet didn't matter one way or the other.)

DrStrange
 
Check behind. You have decent showdown value, but villain may have 45 or 59, or even a set, and he probably isn't folding those unless maybe you make a huge bet.
 
Easy check-behind against anybody.

Unless this hand is double-sooted, fold pre even for a limp on the button.
 
Hero checked an lost to set of 8s. Still thinking a bet could get hands like that and rivered top 2 to fold enough.
 
Probably not, I mean your either betting 9T or you're bluffing most likely. Wouldn't you have raised with that on the turn if you really had 9T? If I'm villain I'm thinking you missed a flush draw here more often than not if you're betting.
 

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