JTs, middle possition, late in the session (1 Viewer)

[Chippy McChiperson]

You say he's a semi-aggro calling station. I'd check jam. Sure, he may have a better ten, or even pocket sixes, but if this guy is a stuck calling station like you say then his calling range also includes worse tens and kings. Plus, if he only has a missed draw, you may as well let him try to steal the pot.

 

[courage]

Bet $65.

 

[MoscowRadio]

Bet $65.

I like this for a couple of reasons:

-This could look like an attempt on our part to steal having missed a open-ender.
-It's hard to rep trips, so Villain could very well look us up with a hand like KQ or KJ.

I'm still waiting for him to jam with AT though...

 

[Mr Tree]

I like this for a couple of reasons:

-This could look like an attempt on our part to steal having missed a open-ender.
-It's hard to rep trips, so Villain could very well look us up with a hand like KQ or KJ.

I'm still waiting for him to jam with AT though...

Always possible but given his range I think I'm more siding with Chippy here (a horrifying proposition. [emoji33]) his range is so wide he could have a lot of hands that pay you off here. I get more of a "he doesn't buy we have anything" vibe than a "he's legitimate" vibe from the way this has played out.

 

[DrStrange]

*** The end ***

Hero bets $40. CO snap folds saying he has a kicker problem. Unlike many hand Hero plays, this time we don't get to see all the hands.

From my experience with CO - he snap calls or more with any ten. He might fold K-rag but only after some thinking - I would give even money that CO calls with K8 - K2. Maybe his range is A) broad way draw, B) 6x (bottom pair on the flop), C) pocket pair less than KK

As for Old Man Coffee - I can't find a single hand that fit his normal range that he calls preflop, calls flop, folds the turn. So I think OMC takes a flier on the flop with a gut shot, middle or bottom pair. (he didn't look sick after the river, so not likely middle pair.)

DrStrange

 

[courage]

Curious about your half pot river bet size and plan, doc. Were you folding to a shove from CO?

 

[Chippy McChiperson]

He could have had a pocket pair like sevens, eights, or nines, and was waiting to see if you would fire again on the turn. I would assume you are c-betting the flop with AQ and AJ with some frequency, and OMC probably knows this.

 

[MoscowRadio]

Curious about your half pot river bet size and plan, doc. Were you folding to a shove from CO?

Also, very curious about this. Was this to bet less than you thought CO would have had he barreled?

 

[DrStrange]

Hero's river plan: Bet small enough that villain might call with K-rag, the primary hand in villain's range (prior to the snap fold). The $12 turn bet didn't look very strong, King-rag didn't get an improved kicker from the paired board so Hero is betting what he hopes can be called by a weak top pair hand.

Hero is calling a shove (villain has 200 - 5 - 12 -12 - 40 = 131 left. Pot would be 78 + 40 +40 + 131 = 280 giving Hero a little better than 2-1 on the call. Villain might well have T2 or any other ten but would be less likely to jam with T2.) Hero wouldn't be happy to see a jam, but the call seems profitable enough.

DrStrange