Do you raise this river? (1 Viewer)

The solve above has a much wider range for V. Agree that the Snowie ranges are too tight so the results dont apply

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I doubt stronger players lead this flop often. Hero should have decent nut and equity advantage on the flop, since hero likely has all sets and overpairs at full frequency. 69s is the only potential nutted hand villain has that hero doesn't (and the Zoom player pool should be tight enough to fold that hand versus a UTG open anyway). Exploitatively, I do think calling on the flop is missing value. Raising overpairs is bad if you get 3bet, but I am confident the player pool rarely 3bets the flop, and 3bets will be super value heavy anyway. I assume villain's donk range is skewed towards 9x / flush draw type hands that will call a small raise.

Based on the turn sizing, villain is likely a weaker player. This means that while the river spot is likely a pure check from a GTO perspective, bet-folding seems alright to me since villain may be station-y with 9x.
 

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