boltonguy
Flush
Using Snowie to practice 6-max cash and bringing in Flopzilla to help in "tough" spots.
Here is a spot on the river where I think I have the odds to call but wanted to get feedback:
Hero opens 3BB in UTG. Folds to BB who flats.
Flop is . BB checks, Hero bets 1/4 pot. Villain calls.
Turn is . BB checks, Hero checks.
River is . Villain leads for pot.
Hero is getting 2:1 odds on Villain's pot sized lead so needs to be good here >33% of the time to call (I think).
Villain's bluffs are missed flush draws [many suited combos in BB's defending range] and maybe missed gutshot [JT/JK which we block]. Maybe 112/4 = 28 combos - I cant do this in my head had to do it in Flopzilla. Villain's value hands are A2s - ATs (8 x 4=32) with and A7o - ATo, A5o (5 x 12=60) for 92 value combos.
So about 3:1 value to bluff.
Starting with a BB defend range and applying flop & turn filters for anything decent, Flopzilla shows our hand is best 41% of the time on the river vs Villain's range + filters. If we need to be good here >33% of the time I think this is a call. In reality I would likely fold to this bet.
I cant do all this in my head - does anyone have a good way of determining if this is a call or fold?
Mostly in flow I would think: V has lots of AXs in range both suited and unsuited and these combos outweigh the number of hearts/gutshot. Pot is a strong size and Villain isnt afraid of me having a strong Ace (I did check turn which tells him I'm weak). So I would probably fold in a 6-max anonymous fast fold game.
In Snowie I called after doing the work with Flopzilla to calc my equity which was correct GTO and Villain had . So the math works but I cant do this math in my head at the table - anyone have any tricks?
Here is a spot on the river where I think I have the odds to call but wanted to get feedback:
Hero opens 3BB in UTG. Folds to BB who flats.
Flop is . BB checks, Hero bets 1/4 pot. Villain calls.
Turn is . BB checks, Hero checks.
River is . Villain leads for pot.
Hero is getting 2:1 odds on Villain's pot sized lead so needs to be good here >33% of the time to call (I think).
Villain's bluffs are missed flush draws [many suited combos in BB's defending range] and maybe missed gutshot [JT/JK which we block]. Maybe 112/4 = 28 combos - I cant do this in my head had to do it in Flopzilla. Villain's value hands are A2s - ATs (8 x 4=32) with and A7o - ATo, A5o (5 x 12=60) for 92 value combos.
So about 3:1 value to bluff.
Starting with a BB defend range and applying flop & turn filters for anything decent, Flopzilla shows our hand is best 41% of the time on the river vs Villain's range + filters. If we need to be good here >33% of the time I think this is a call. In reality I would likely fold to this bet.
I cant do all this in my head - does anyone have a good way of determining if this is a call or fold?
Mostly in flow I would think: V has lots of AXs in range both suited and unsuited and these combos outweigh the number of hearts/gutshot. Pot is a strong size and Villain isnt afraid of me having a strong Ace (I did check turn which tells him I'm weak). So I would probably fold in a 6-max anonymous fast fold game.
In Snowie I called after doing the work with Flopzilla to calc my equity which was correct GTO and Villain had . So the math works but I cant do this math in my head at the table - anyone have any tricks?