boltonguy
Flush
Early in this evening's session, folds to Hero in CO with AJo.
Hero RFI 3BB (standard from CO). SB calls, BB folds.
Flop comes low and paired and V leads for about 1/2 pot.
I think it is possible that V is leading here with his entire range as the flop favors his range and if he has a hand like A7/K7 he wants protection from a turn card that favors my range. I dont think V leads 6x here. This is a "lets get a fold now because CO missed the flop" play with a weak hand IMHO. This is a merged sizing not a polarized sizing suggesting a medium strength hand. 6x leading leaves a lot of money on the table I think. I decide that with 2 overs and position, given the sizing I will call here. In position I can also bluff later streets if the runout is favorable.
Turn continues to favor V yet he X. This looks weak and I decide to start running a bluff, targeting 7x or any air that missed so far that he may have led flop with. I bet 1/2 pot and V calls.
River is a Q which I think favors my range here - unless he has Q7.
With A-high I have some SVD, but concerned about losing to a 7 at showdown I decide to fire another bullet and size up to 3/4 pot.
V folds.
Curious about how I played this hand I put it into the solver, GTO+.
We do see V leading flop at a low frequency (6%) with almost every combo in range including the 6x combos (he does go larger with quads).
Solver is calling with most of range including AJo but also raising AJo with medium frequency.
Solver continues to fire turn as SB at 76% frequency probably as this card continues to strongly favor V's range.
Combos that X here at high frequency have pretty much missed the board.
CO fires here with almost 100% of combos in range at mixed frequencies. Looks like only hand not bet here is K5s. Our combo fires at 20%.
V is folding 65% to this bet and raising over 2x as often as calling here. Hands that are mostly a call are 7x like K7s, 97s and 33, TT.
V checks river with a lot of hands that have decent SDV A5s, K7s, 97s, TT, 99, 88, etc and is raising with value and a wide array of bluffs that missed.
So here is the question - all those hands that will beat me at SD X river. So if I X I am very likely to lose with A-high.
With AJo solver checks river. Solver fires plenty of bluffs here (38% of hands) and mostly uses close to the same sizing when doing so, but for some reason almost purely X AJo.
Anyone have any idea why? I think that a X here from Hero likely loses the hand.
Especially confusing when I see solver bluffing A4s and KJs here.
** Ok so I followed the path of the Finding Equilibrium video and AJ has non-zero equity & EV here. All the hands that solver is betting as bluffs, like AT, have zero equity and zero EV. So it looks like a balance thing - get to SD with the hands with equity, bet big with value and balance with the zero equity hands as bluffs.
I just cant intuitively see how AJ has about 5.5% equity and is +EV yet AT has 0.00% equity and 0EV. Anyone have any thoughts?
Hero RFI 3BB (standard from CO). SB calls, BB folds.
Flop comes low and paired and V leads for about 1/2 pot.
I think it is possible that V is leading here with his entire range as the flop favors his range and if he has a hand like A7/K7 he wants protection from a turn card that favors my range. I dont think V leads 6x here. This is a "lets get a fold now because CO missed the flop" play with a weak hand IMHO. This is a merged sizing not a polarized sizing suggesting a medium strength hand. 6x leading leaves a lot of money on the table I think. I decide that with 2 overs and position, given the sizing I will call here. In position I can also bluff later streets if the runout is favorable.
Turn continues to favor V yet he X. This looks weak and I decide to start running a bluff, targeting 7x or any air that missed so far that he may have led flop with. I bet 1/2 pot and V calls.
River is a Q which I think favors my range here - unless he has Q7.
With A-high I have some SVD, but concerned about losing to a 7 at showdown I decide to fire another bullet and size up to 3/4 pot.
V folds.
Curious about how I played this hand I put it into the solver, GTO+.
We do see V leading flop at a low frequency (6%) with almost every combo in range including the 6x combos (he does go larger with quads).
Solver is calling with most of range including AJo but also raising AJo with medium frequency.
Solver continues to fire turn as SB at 76% frequency probably as this card continues to strongly favor V's range.
Combos that X here at high frequency have pretty much missed the board.
CO fires here with almost 100% of combos in range at mixed frequencies. Looks like only hand not bet here is K5s. Our combo fires at 20%.
V is folding 65% to this bet and raising over 2x as often as calling here. Hands that are mostly a call are 7x like K7s, 97s and 33, TT.
V checks river with a lot of hands that have decent SDV A5s, K7s, 97s, TT, 99, 88, etc and is raising with value and a wide array of bluffs that missed.
So here is the question - all those hands that will beat me at SD X river. So if I X I am very likely to lose with A-high.
With AJo solver checks river. Solver fires plenty of bluffs here (38% of hands) and mostly uses close to the same sizing when doing so, but for some reason almost purely X AJo.
Anyone have any idea why? I think that a X here from Hero likely loses the hand.
Especially confusing when I see solver bluffing A4s and KJs here.
** Ok so I followed the path of the Finding Equilibrium video and AJ has non-zero equity & EV here. All the hands that solver is betting as bluffs, like AT, have zero equity and zero EV. So it looks like a balance thing - get to SD with the hands with equity, bet big with value and balance with the zero equity hands as bluffs.
I just cant intuitively see how AJ has about 5.5% equity and is +EV yet AT has 0.00% equity and 0EV. Anyone have any thoughts?
I guess I shouldn’t be surprised that people think opening AJ in the co is loose considering how tight people play at micro zoom pools but yea, optimal open is way way looser and the zoom pool at these stakes tends to be significantly tighter than optimal not looser. You see a small number of people punting hard but many many more are cranking out 500-1k hands an hour by auto folding non premiums when there’s an open in front of them.
