After years of being a sub-average NLHE player, I've used this summer to study the game like a champ. My imagination and the advanced content at my disposal are forcing me to think differently than before. I'm trying to simplify the game but that's not easy because the game has become much more understood in recent years.
I'm going to run-down a situation, and you brilliant people should tell me if I have a correct understanding or not. Deal?
It seems shoving and picking up 27 in this spot isn't such a bad concept. Again, HERO has no idea what two cards he has. I guess what I'm trying to understand and perhaps prove to myself is this: Playing the specific scenario as described is a more profitable path than simply playing my cards. Feel free to criticize and critique now.
I'm going to run-down a situation, and you brilliant people should tell me if I have a correct understanding or not. Deal?
- SB is in for 1. BB is in for 2. HERO opens for 6 with random cards. Everyone folds except for the DB, who raises to 18 with standard open range (via PokerStrategy.com). Pot is 27, HERO must call 12.
- Without looking at his cards, HERO shoves the remainder of his stack (200), and is forcing DB to call 194 into 221 imputing 1.14-to-1 odds, which would require 87.8% equity (I think).
- So, technically speaking DB is facing a -EV call no matter what their two cards, as AA will win about 85% of the time.
- Additionally, it looks like when Villain folds over 49% in this spot, HERO profits (per Red Chip Poker Fold Equity Calculator).
It seems shoving and picking up 27 in this spot isn't such a bad concept. Again, HERO has no idea what two cards he has. I guess what I'm trying to understand and perhaps prove to myself is this: Playing the specific scenario as described is a more profitable path than simply playing my cards. Feel free to criticize and critique now.
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